Monthly Archives: October 2004

VP Debate

Like most people, I had high hopes for the vice presidential debate. Instead of the incoherent Bush and the ponderous Kerry, we’d have Edwards’ lawyerly agility stacking up against Cheney’s gravitas. By that high standard, it was a pretty lousy debate. It was expected that both candidates would function largely as surrogates for their running mates, but the extent to which that was the case—to which talking points from last week were simply repeated, often verbatim—was disappointing.

Gwen Ifill was a mediocre moderator, and some of her questions were downright awful. They often played directly not to substantive issues, but to spin created by the respective campaigns. She asked a “global test” question and even a “flip-flop” question. That last one had me really incensed—I mean, even if you’re set on asking a question about Kerry’s record, could you at least avoid using the terminology carefully crafted by the RNC? I realize that Republicans have harnessed the power of language way more effectively than Democrats, but just because they succeeded in getting the flip-flop meme out there and making it stick doesn’t make it true.

Her worst question was the one where she asked them to explain their differences from each other without mentioning the names of Bush or Kerry. It was a silly little qualification to add, but what made it really bad was that it came right on the heels of another question where they had basically already done that. Consequently their answers were all over the map, though in that case one could hardly blame them.

That’s less true for many of the other answers they provided, which often ranged far and were only tangentially related to the questions. They both did it, but Edwards was more guilty of it than Cheney—and often, when he diverted like that, Edwards did it not to make some incisive new argument but to trot out the old talking points again. I don’t know, maybe in some coldly calculating electoral strategy the endless repetition pays off, but it sure made for an annoying debate.

Cheney was a cool cat. He stuck to his guns—on Iraq, on the Al Qaeda connection, on the Medicare bill, on all sorts of things where he is utterly, obviously wrong. But he has that authoritative manner that just makes it seem to make sense. That bullheadedness has gotten us into all sorts of trouble, but Cheney’s going to ride his ship into the ground. Anyone who’s inclined to believe what he has to say already will no doubt find it comforting.

I was expecting more from Edwards. He was the one in this debate to let slip some pained grimaces in response to what Cheney was saying. He was the one who occasionally misspoke. Occasionally he found his mark, like the brilliant rebuttal where he (finally) brought up Halliburton in the same breath as pointing out that Cheney as SecDef voted for the same defense cuts that he had just criticized Kerry for. But those moments were relatively few and far between.

The lowest point in the debate came up around the “90% of the cost, 90% of the casualties” statistics that Kerry brought up in the last debate. Edwards cited the casualties number as coalition casualties, and Cheney in his rebuttal critiqued it by citing a number that also accounted for Iraqi casualties (presumably those of military and law enforcement, since the Iraqi civilian casualties blow the other numbers out of the water). Edwards came back later on to clarify that the 90% referred to coalition casualties, and Cheney—I still don’t believe this—accused him of belittling the service of Iraqis. He tried to turn a numbers dispute into something else, and even put on a little show of mock outrage. Edwards should have fought back hard against that one, but he botched his response.

There were a lot of other low blows. Cheney responded to Edwards’ Halliburton attacks not with a defense of Halliburton but with attacks on Kerry’s voting record. It was a misstep, not least because it opened up Edwards to respond to that with an attack on Cheney’s voting record, including that he voted against making Martin Luther King Day a national holiday. Is this true?! If the charge holds up that’s pretty bad news for Cheney, but the soft charges were flying so fast from both sides I’m inclined to remain skeptical, and wait until the smoke clears.

Edwards’s closing statement: alarmism of the “America’s light is going out” variety. Cheney’s: alarmism of the “Be afraid by very afraid” variety. Neither appealed to me much on substance, but it’s the fearmongering that I can’t forgive.

So who the heck won? Not Edwards, though I think either side’s spin machine has enough fodder to start crowing about a win. I’d give it to Cheney by a margin, but maybe not enough of a margin to break out the “draw” zone. Not enough to be decisive, which puts the spotlight back on the next presidential debate, which I may have to miss, depending on how many people show up for the Neal Stephenson book signing.

Links and post-spinfluence comments to follow.

UPDATE:

Kevin Drum basically agrees with me. Nice to know I must be doing something right. He mentions a couple of Ifill’s other bad questions, and also comes away generally unimpressed by the whole proceeding. His followup thoughts lean a little bit more in Edwards’ favor, and his take has swayed me slightly, though not enough to call it an Edwards win. He rightly points out, though, that Edwards just needed to do OK—stacking up against a sitting VP is no small matter. The thing is, if he could have scored a decisive win, it would have put tremendous pressure on an already-weak Bush for Friday’s debate. That definitely didn’t happen.

Steve Clemons hits the nail on the head:

Cheney’s comments on the costs and casualties in the war were mostly fabricated, but Edwards—despite being armed by truth and youthful vigor—seemed steam-rolled in the end by Cheney’s convictions, rigid certainty, and righteousness.

Josh Marshall is much more upbeat about Edwards’ performance and about the debate in general.

If someone could tell me where to go to find a conservative blog with these guys’ levels of detail, sophistication, and insulation from spin, I’d appreciate it. I don’t doubt that they’re out there, but I haven’t found them yet.

An Announcement of Status Quo

Though I haven’t been mentioning it here, through all this past year I’ve been dancing the long, slow dance of Getting a Government Job Requiring Security Clearance. I applied in May of _last_ year, got interviewed in July, was offered the job in September (pending a background check), and passed that check, at long last, late _this_ summer. Last week, I finally got the call that they were ready for me to start.

For most of that time (since December, anyway), I’ve been filling my time with Ella-care as an at-home dad. And, after a weekend of rather intense discussion and option-weighing, Suanna and I have decided that that’s the state of affairs we want to keep. So I’m not going to take the job, but will instead embrace full-time parenthood for the next few years.

I was all set to explain here that I wasn’t going to be blogging about politics as much, but would instead embrace the (rather prudent) tendency of intelligence professionals to be cagey and mysterious about their political opinions. And I was all set to explain how I wouldn’t be posting as often. But now there’s no need — it’ll continue to be business as usual here at Polytropos.

I never did find out whether the people who ran my background check discovered this blog or not. Not that it would have been at all difficult to find, but Googling someone seems like just the sort of common-sense step that a government-related program wouldn’t have got around to implementing yet. I’ve often been asked by friends whether I thought being critical of Bush on the blog would hurt my chances of getting security clearance. The answer is that it certainly _shouldn’t_, by the rules, though I do know that one friend of mine who they interviewed was asked whether I supported the policies of the current Administration — a question they’re not supposed to ask. Obviously in my case, it didn’t make a difference — or they never found the blog. Pick whichever explanation fits your existing preconceptions about our government.

I do have one highly amusing background check anecdote, which I’ll save for later.

In addition to changing lots of diapers, visiting the zoo way too often, and blogging, I’d like to spend _some_ of my time in the next couple years making money, if possible. Freelance editing is in my bag of tricks, so if anybody has any leads or needs in that department, let me know.

What’s In a Name?

From “The Atlantic”:http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200411/primarysources (though the link will only work if you’re a subscriber):

If you feel that the opposite sex isn’t giving you the attention you so richly deserve, maybe you should consider making a change—a name change, that is. According to a preliminary study by an MIT cognitive scientist, the vowel sounds in people’s names may have an impact on how others judge their attractiveness. Specifically, when the men in the study were assigned names with a stressed front vowel (a vowel sound spoken at the front of the mouth), they were rated as more attractive than when they were assigned names with a stressed back vowel. (In other words, good news for Dave, Craig, Ben, Jake, Rick, Steve, Matt; bad news for Lou, Paul, Luke, Tom, Charles, George, John.) In women the effect was reversed, and a stressed back vowel (Laura, Julie, Robin, Susan, Holly) boosted sex appeal, whereas a stressed front vowel (Melanie, Jamie, Jill, Tracy, Ann, Liz, Amy) had the opposite effect—to the author’s disappointment, no doubt.

Here’s the “abstract”:http://www.mit.edu/~perfors/hotornot.pdf for the study (PDF).

Sometimes it’s good to be Nate.

Mini Blogroll Update

Ed’s back. Woohoo! His blog title (this month, anyway) is “Mellowing My Harsh”:http://www.edheil.com/mmh/. Current entries are chock full of gaming goodness. Excellent.

And I mentioned it when it began, but let me re-call attention to Sara Zuiderveen’s blog, “A Little More Life”:http://www.alittlemorelife.net/weblog/. It’s only a couple weeks old and already filled with great stuff worth reading. Check it out.

SPX 2004

As I discovered “last year”:http://www.polytropos.org/archives/000095.html, my buddy Joe not only knows and loves comics, but has the uncanny (to me, anyway) ability to get cool people talking with him about them as if they’ve known him forever. So it’s a very good thing he was with me to pick up “Mike Mignola”:http://www.lambiek.net/mignola.htm at Union Station and deliver him to this year’s “Small Press Expo”:http://www.spxpo.com/. I’m a big Hellboy fan but I’m terrible at making small talk with strangers that I admire, so I drove the car and played fly-on-the-wall while Joe got Mignola talking about early twentieth-century illustration, a subject that occupied them both nearly the whole ride there. Movie chitchat covered the rest of the trip.

It doesn’t seem like a year ago that I went to “my first SPX”:http://www.polytropos.org/archives/000073.html, but I didn’t have a ten-month old daughter then, and I do now, which strongly suggests that it has been at least that long. Ella was with me there this year, and while she had a good time and attracted plenty of attention, it did mean that I didn’t get a chance to browse around quite as much as I’d like. (No costume for her this year, though she was very taken with the toddler who was dressed as Spider-Man.) I did pick up a copy of “Owly”:http://www.icomics.com/rev_063004_owly.shtml, which I highly recommend, and which will be waiting in the wings in order to someday bear the honor of being Ella’s First Comic Book. I also spent some time browsing _Stuff and Nonsense_, a book of really cool illustrations and early comics by “A.B. Frost”:http://www.coconino-world.com/sites_auteurs/ab-frost/Menus/mn_frost.htm from the 1880s. For a brief shining moment I thought I had made A Find, but when I showed it to Joe he of course already knew all about it.

I’ll include bloglinks to other SPX chatter here as I come across it.

PuzzleWatch, Week 3

“Last week”:http://www.polytropos.org/archives/000544.html I speculated that Liane, hoping to ease her breakup with Will, might have been trying to play matchmaker between him and guest host Sheila Kast. Juicy as such a story might seem, we at Polytropos HQ know better than to wildly _invent_ gossip in the absence of evidence, and this week’s show offers nothing that cries out for detailed analysis or comment. Will and Sheila got along fine, but made it through the whole segment with nary a hint of amorous innuendo or other hidden meaning. Maybe we just weren’t listening closely enough.

September Search String Excerpts

There weren’t enough good ones last month to merit an entry, but we’re back with a handful of phrases that people entered into search engines that, by hook or by crook, led them here.

*liane hansen will shortz affair blog* — … and innumerable variations of those words and similar ones. (My favorite is ‘puzzle master true love blog’.) Obviously most of those searches are finding “this”:http://www.polytropos.org/archives/000536.html, but what I want to know is, are these people who heard the mention on NPR and tried to find the blog, or are these people who (like me) have always suspected the connection and were searching _before_ last Sunday? I suspect more of the latter.

*best backgammon player in the world* — Don’t listen to all this talk of Woolsey or Robertie or Magriel. _We_ know that it’s “Patrick”:http://www.polytropos.org/archives/000336.html. Who I haven’t seen since “June”:http://www.polytropos.org/archives/000456.html, sad to say.

*nude picture sault ste marie* — Mmmm, yeah, ’cause the “Soo Locks”:http://www.exploringthenorth.com/soo/locks.html are so sexy, opening and closing, opening and closing …

*david vanderlaan picture* — He has a really cute butt. I know. (No, not “this”:http://cechg.freeservers.com/david.html David. “This”:http://www.polytropos.org/mt-static/ella/ella155.jpg one.)

*polytropos obligatory search string excerpts* — Aaaah! It’s so meta I can’t stand it!